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Banditry NNG1368

Heavily armed terrorists launched a coordinated midnight assault on a settlement of Tiv farmers located within the Idofin community of Yagba East. The attackers moved through the agrarian settlement, firing sporadically and setting several makeshift shelters on fire. This incident was part of a larger, month-long siege on the Yagba axis, where rural farming communities—often made up of non-indigenous agricultural laborers—were specifically targeted to induce fear and disrupt the local economy.

2 Dec 2025 · Idofin, Yagba East, Kogi

Deaths

4

Total casualties

4

Perpetrators

Bandits

Response

Local vigilantes responded to the gunfire, but the attackers had already withdrawn into the dense forest. The Kogi Police Command later deployed a tactical team to the axis following a motion of urgent public importance raised in the House of Representatives by local lawmakers.

Displacement

0

Socioeconomic drivers

The Tiv and Bassa farming settlements are often situated on the outskirts of major towns to be near their farmlands, making them "first-contact" targets for Bandits entering from the forest.

Trajectory

By late 2025, the nature of violence in Western Kogi shifted from highway robbery to community occupation. Attackers began staying in communities for longer periods (up to an hour) and targeting religious gatherings, as seen in the subsequent Sunday raids on churches in Mopamuro and Ejiba

Cycle notes

The Yagba East siege mirrors the 2014–2016 wave of farmer‑herder violence in the Middle Belt, when similar tactics—night raids, arson, and targeted killing of non‑indigenous farmers—were used to depopulate rural areas. However, the current wave is distinguished by its coordination (multiple targets struck in one night) and its intelligence‑led nature (attackers bypassing other homes to strike specific settlements). This degree of planning was less common in earlier cycles and reflects a learning curve from Bandits operations in Zamfara and Katsina. The targeting of Tiv farmers, who are often “strangers” in Yagba land, also echoes the 2001 “Numan” and 2011 “Jukun/Tiv” conflicts, where ethnic militias deliberately attacked non‑indigenous agricultural workers to assert territorial control.

Pattern

The Forest Corridor Strike — The Yagba axis (Idofin, Isanlu, Ejiba) sits along a porous forest belt that connects Kogi with Kwara and Ekiti. Terrorists use these "green highways" to strike rural settlements and retreat before security forces can navigate the poor road networks (notably the dilapidated Kabba–Egbe Road).

Sources